In 2022, congressional districts will be redrawn based on the results of the 2020 census, explained Denise Barber, managing director of the National Institute on Money in Politics, on WNYC Studios’ “The Takeaway” podcast. The governorships matter to political parties because they could affect the way elections for the House of Representatives pan out for years to come. Not only did Congressman Ron DeSantis easily win the Republican Primary, but his opponent in November is his biggest dream….a failed Socialist Mayor named Andrew Gillum who has allowed crime & many other problems to flourish in his city. To make things even more complicated for the Democrats, 10 of the seats they currently hold are in states that Trump carried in the 2016 presidential election. That means there’s little margin for error if the Democrats want to take the Senate - they’d likely need to retain all 26 seats that they currently hold, as well as defeat a couple of Republicans. Winning the Senate is poised to be a more difficult task for the Democrats, who are defending 26 of the 35 seats being contested. While all seats of the House of Representatives go up for grabs each midterm cycle, only around one-third of Senate seats will be voted on - that’s because senators serve six-year terms.Ĭomprising the upper chamber of Congress, the Senate comprises 100 seats, meaning that a total of 51 seats are needed for a party to take control. The Republicans, with 51 senators, currently control the Senate. The odds of a Democratic victory have increased in 48 of the 65 races seen as competitive or leaning in favour of the Democrats, according to at least one of the three political forecasting groups: Cook Political Report, Inside Elections and the University of Virginia’s Center for Politics, according to a Reuters analysis.ĭemocrats have an 86.4 per cent chance of winning control of the House, according to a forecast by FiveThirtyEight.
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